Lula’s New Foreign Policy: Revisiting Overstretch or Restraining after the Sprain?
Published in CEBRI-Revista, 2024
Abstract
This article assesses whether, after the hiatus of Temer and Bolsonaro, Lula continued to pursue an overstretched foreign policy in his third term. We conclude that although he has restrained from those impulses, this is less due to any learning from past mistakes and primarily because of the pressures of the new geopolitical order. To make these points, we leverage data and analytical techniques to measure the overstretch along the lines of the project Foreign Policy in Numbers, hosted at the International Relations Institute of the São Paulo University. Keywords: Brazilian foreign policy; foreign policy overstretch; presidential diplomacy.